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Primary postmortem: Republicans underwhelm in Michigan

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Turnout barely exceeds 2008: Looks like Republican turnout will surpass the 2008 total by only about  125,000 votes, give or take a few. In 2008, 869,169 votes were cast for Republican candidates. This year, two things appeared to contribute to  increased turnout:

  • The Democratic race is uncontested this year, and  some people who voted for Hillary or for Uncommitted in 2008 either did not  vote this time or crossed over.
  • Republicans invested much more heavily in  Michigan this time than in 2008. Last time, the focus of the national  Republican race was on Super Tuesday, as Romney was more or less  expected to win the Michigan primary (which was three weeks before Super  Tuesday). This time, a very close race (and the possibility of Romney  losing what he should've won in a cakewalk) meant more interest in the  race - thus also contributing to higher turnout.

Despite that, Republicans only got around 1 million votes this time.

More below the thingamajig.


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